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<channel>
	<title>Erik Barry Erhardt, PhD</title>
	<atom:link href="http://statacumen.com/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://statacumen.com</link>
	<description>"I bring excellence to everything I do."</description>
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		<title>Awarded: 2011-12 UNM Math &amp; Stat Outstanding Undergraduate Instructor</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/11/awarded-2011-12-unm-math-stat-outstanding-undergraduate-instructor/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=awarded-2011-12-unm-math-stat-outstanding-undergraduate-instructor</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/11/awarded-2011-12-unm-math-stat-outstanding-undergraduate-instructor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 May 2012 03:17:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1228</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m grateful to my students who voted for me as UNM Math &#38; Stat Outstanding Undergraduate Instructor for 2011-12.  I was tied for UNM Math &#38; Stat Outstanding Graduate Instructor, as well.  I work hard to give my students the best experience, to give them time before and after class to ask questions, to respond promptly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m grateful to my students who voted for me as UNM Math &amp; Stat Outstanding Undergraduate Instructor for 2011-12.  I was tied for UNM Math &amp; Stat Outstanding Graduate Instructor, as well.  I work hard to give my students the best experience, to give them time before and after class to ask questions, to respond promptly to their email, and to reach them where they are and pull them up or show them how to keep climbing.</p>
<p>I keep adding to my <a href="http://statacumen.com/pub/ErikBarryErhardt_TeachingDossier.pdf">Teaching Dossier</a>, reflecting on my experience and accomplishments.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Contra dance: Las Cruces Stomp</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-las-cruces-stomp/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-las-cruces-stomp</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-las-cruces-stomp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1203</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Las Cruces Stomp Erik Erhardt Type: Contra Formation: Duple-Improper Level: Easy A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (16) Neighbor balance and swing A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Circle Left 3/4 (8) Partner swing B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Balance the ring and spin to the right (petronella) (8) Balance the ring and spin to the right (petronella) B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Right and left [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Las Cruces Stomp</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Duple-Improper<br />
Level: Easy</p>
<p><span id="more-1203"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(16) Neighbor balance and swing<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Circle Left 3/4<br />
(8) Partner swing<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Balance the ring and spin to the right (petronella)<br />
(8) Balance the ring and spin to the right (petronella)<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Right and left through<br />
(8) Ladies Chain</p>
<p>Other Notes: Written on the spot 3/16/2012 for the dancers in Las Cruces, who I heard enjoyed balanced and petronella spins, the night I shared a night of calling there.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Contra dance: Fair trade</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-fair-trade/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-fair-trade</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-fair-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:50:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fair trade Erik Erhardt &#38; Cora McCold Type: Contra Formation: Duple-Improper Progression: Double Level: Int A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) 1s reverse 1/2 Figure 8 down outside and crossing up between 2s (8) Star Right A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (16) 1s balance and swing WHILE 2s cross set, up outside one place, cross set back (walking around 1s) B1 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Fair trade</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt &amp; Cora McCold<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Duple-Improper<br />
Progression: Double<br />
Level: Int</p>
<p><span id="more-1201"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) 1s reverse 1/2 Figure 8 down outside and crossing up between 2s<br />
(8) Star Right<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(16) 1s balance and swing<br />
WHILE 2s cross set, up outside one place, cross set back (walking around 1s)<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) 2s reverse 1/2 Figure 8 up outside and crossing down between 1s<br />
(8) Star Right<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(16) 2s balance and swing<br />
WHILE 1s cross set, down outside one place, cross set back (walking around 2s)</p>
<p>Notes: A1, B1 &#8211; In Figure 8, as soon as active couple crosses through, every put their right hands in to star.</p>
<p>Other Notes: Cowritten with Cora at Stellar Days and Nights, 2/25/2012.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Contra dance: Lucia’s square through</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-lucia%e2%80%99s-square-through/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-lucia%25e2%2580%2599s-square-through</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-lucia%e2%80%99s-square-through/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:49:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lucia’s square through Erik Erhardt Type: Contra Formation: Becket-CW Level: Int A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (4) Neighbor across Balance (4) Square through 2 (pull by right across, then up/down left with Partner) end facing up/down (8) Next Neighbor Swing A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (4) Other Neighbor across Balance (4) Square through 2 (pull by right across, then down/up left [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Lucia’s square through</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Becket-CW<br />
Level: Int</p>
<p><span id="more-1199"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Neighbor across Balance<br />
(4) Square through 2 (pull by right across, then up/down left with Partner) end facing up/down<br />
(8) Next Neighbor Swing<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Other Neighbor across Balance<br />
(4) Square through 2 (pull by right across, then down/up left with Neighbor you swung) end facing down/up<br />
(8) Partner swing at home<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) On Left Diagonal, Ladies Chain<br />
(8) Star Left 3/4<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Partner allemande Right 1X<br />
(4) Circle Left 1/2 with new Neighbors<br />
(8) Star Right 1X</p>
<p>Other Notes: Written for Lucia Thomas at Stellar Days and Nights, 2/25/2012.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Contra dance: Precket for Kara, #1</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-precket-for-kara-1/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-precket-for-kara-1</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-precket-for-kara-1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:45:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1196</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Precket for Kara, #1 Erik Erhardt Type: Contra Formation: Duple-Proper Level: Int A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; PRECKET FORMATION (16) Gents (Ladies) Contra Corners A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (4) Gents (Ladies) Balance (12) Partner balance and swing B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Left diagonal, ladies start 1/2 Hey by right shoulders (8) Across set continue 1/2 Hey B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) 1s 1/2 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Precket for Kara, #1</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Duple-Proper<br />
Level: Int</p>
<p><span id="more-1196"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
PRECKET FORMATION<br />
(16) Gents (Ladies) Contra Corners<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Gents (Ladies) Balance<br />
(12) Partner balance and swing<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Left diagonal, ladies start 1/2 Hey by right shoulders<br />
(8) Across set continue 1/2 Hey<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) 1s 1/2 Figure eight across, 2s separate and come together<br />
(8) Long lines, forward and back</p>
<p>Notes: Starting: Precket, Proper Becket &#8212; start proper, hands four, circle left 1/4 for starting position<br />
G2 G1 top<br />
L2 L1 bottom</p>
<p>B2 &#8211; yes, 1/2 Figure 8 across the set</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Contra dance: Stars on van Vliet Street</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-stars-on-van-vliet-street/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-stars-on-van-vliet-street</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-stars-on-van-vliet-street/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:44:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1194</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Stars on van Vliet Street Erik Erhardt Type: Contra Formation: Duple-Improper Level: Easy-Int A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (4) Gents allemande Left 1/2 (4) 1st Gents Right-hand star with Nbr Lady in front 1/2 (4) Ladies drop out across set and cast over Left shoulder WHILE Gents continue Right-hand star 1/2 (4) Original Neighbor Gents allemande Left 1-1/2 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Stars on van Vliet Street</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Duple-Improper<br />
Level: Easy-Int</p>
<p><span id="more-1194"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Gents allemande Left 1/2<br />
(4) 1st Gents Right-hand star with Nbr Lady in front 1/2<br />
(4) Ladies drop out across set and cast over Left shoulder<br />
WHILE Gents continue Right-hand star 1/2<br />
(4) Original Neighbor Gents allemande Left 1-1/2<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) (cont)<br />
(4) 2nd Gents Right-hand star with Old Nbr Lady in front 1/2<br />
(4) Ladies drop out on original side and cast over Left shoulder<br />
WHILE Gents continue Right-hand star 1/2<br />
(4) Original Neighbor Gents Left forearm grip push to piroette to partner<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(16) Partner balance and swing<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(4) Ladies allemande Right 1/2, scoop up Neighbor Gent<br />
(4) Star promenade to Lady’s side<br />
(8) Neighbor swing</p>
<p>Notes: A1 &#8211; start facing across. Gents look on far left diagonal for 1st gent, look on near right diagonal for 2nd gent. Ladies prepare for star as gents allemande to start.<br />
Stars are hands-across.<br />
A2 &#8211; alternatively, can Gents can ricochet push off with two hands to piroette in place.<br />
B2 &#8211; on star promenade, lady’s arm is high to flow into swing</p>
<p>Teach stars by having the Gents do the pattern without the Ladies, first. Then have the Ladies join to show that the Ladies simply cross the set</p>
<p>Other Notes: Written for Josh van Vliet for the Saratoga Springs Dance Flurry 2/16/2012</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Contra dance: Salute to Richard Wilson, spirals</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-salute-to-richard-wilson-spirals/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=contra-dance-salute-to-richard-wilson-spirals</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/05/10/contra-dance-salute-to-richard-wilson-spirals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 01:43:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1192</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Salute to Richard Wilson, spirals Erik Erhardt Type: Contra Formation: Duple-Improper Level: Easy-Int A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Neighbor Left-hand Gypsy (8) Next Neighbor Right-hand Gypsy A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Original Neighbor Courtesy turn 1-1/4 in place (8) Ladies Chain to partner B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; (8) Ladies allemande Right 1-1/2, WHILE Gents orbit CCW 1/2 (gents keep ladies on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Salute to Richard Wilson, spirals</strong><br />
Erik Erhardt<br />
Type: Contra<br />
Formation: Duple-Improper<br />
Level: Easy-Int</p>
<p><span id="more-1192"></span></p>
<p>A1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Neighbor Left-hand Gypsy<br />
(8) Next Neighbor Right-hand Gypsy<br />
A2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Original Neighbor Courtesy turn 1-1/4 in place<br />
(8) Ladies Chain to partner<br />
B1 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Ladies allemande Right 1-1/2, WHILE Gents orbit CCW 1/2 (gents keep ladies on their left)<br />
(8) Partner swing<br />
B2 &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
(8) Balance the ring and spin to the right (petronella)<br />
(8) Balance the ring and Partner California turn</p>
<p>Notes: A1 &#8211; Left-hand gypsy has left hand at your waist, palm facing your own hip, and linked palm-to-palm with your neighbor as you gypsy.</p>
<p>Other Notes: The handed-gypsy comes from Richard Wilson’s “Right hand Gypsy”</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Workshop: NSF, Science: Becoming the Messenger</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/04/18/workshop-nsf-science-becoming-the-messenger/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=workshop-nsf-science-becoming-the-messenger</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/04/18/workshop-nsf-science-becoming-the-messenger/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Apr 2012 22:17:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Research]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1171</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A crowd-sourced article about communicating our science written as part of today&#8217;s workshop. I made the image in 45 seconds.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A crowd-sourced article about <a href="http://nsfmessengers.wordpress.com/2012/04/18/we-need-to-talk-why-science-communication-is-vital-to-the-american-future/">communicating our science</a> written as part of today&#8217;s workshop. I made the image in 45 seconds.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Dance: 2012 spring newsletter for Friends of the Guiding Star Grange</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/04/03/dance-2012-spring-newsletter-for-friends-of-the-guiding-star-grange/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=dance-2012-spring-newsletter-for-friends-of-the-guiding-star-grange</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/04/03/dance-2012-spring-newsletter-for-friends-of-the-guiding-star-grange/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 00:11:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[dance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fun]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1152</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was touched to be invited by Val LaBelle to write the article below appearing in the 2012 Spring newsletter for the Friends of the Guiding Star Grange. It was almost 15 years ago that I became a dancer on the Guiding Star&#8217;s floor. Old-time contra dancing, tradition and modernity in New Mexico by Erik [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I was touched to be invited by Val LaBelle to write the article below appearing in the 2012 Spring newsletter for the <a href="http://www.guidingstargrange.org/community/friends">Friends of the Guiding Star Grange</a>. It was almost 15 years ago that I became a dancer on the Guiding Star&#8217;s floor.</em></p>
<p><strong>Old-time contra dancing, tradition and modernity in <a href="http://folkmads.org/">New Mexico</a></strong><br />
by <a href="http://statacumen.com/dance/">Erik Erhardt</a>, a New England transplant</p>
<p>At first glance, walking into a contra dance in New Mexico will have the look and feel of dances we experience all over the country: groups people in brightly colored clothing laughingly catching up since the last dance, a table with a small cashbox and dance fliers, a stage with musicians and technicians preparing the sound, and a buzz of anticipation for a fun evening of dance (and sometimes song). But if you’re from New England, as I am, you’ll start to notice little differences reflecting the culture, music, and style of the southwest. Cue harp strumming as we go back in time&#8230;</p>
<p><span id="more-1152"></span></p>
<p>What Albuquerque-based 50-year caller <a href="http://squaredancehistory.org/consultants">William “Doc” Litchman</a> calls “Rocky Mountain Square Dancing” has been around the Rocky Mountain West &#8212; Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, western Montana, Eastern Nevada, and the western half of Texas &#8212; at least from the 1820s or so, brought by the people migrating westward. The music is almost always reels played with a lead fiddle or banjo in the southern style. Figures are simple and can be learned quickly. From the late 1940s, as communication and transportation became easier, square dancing integrated figures from other places, such as the quadrille-style figures from the northeast. A decade later, standardization and creativity in choreography and style has resulted in Modern Western (or club) square dancing.</p>
<p>In Lloyd Shaw’s “<a href="http://www.amazon.com/Cowboy-Dances-Collection-Western-Square/dp/B000CEN2CC">Cowboy Dances</a>”, first published in 1939, he discusses the two main sources of Western dances as the New England Quadrille and the Kentucky Running Set (head to <a href="http://www.berea.edu/peh/dance/ccds/">Berea, KY</a>, in the last week of the year for some of the best), with additional credits to old European folk dances as well as dances from Mexico. In the preface he credits Henry Ford, of automobile fame, for permission to adapt a singing quadrille from one of Ford’s dance publications, and opens with this poem, by James Barton Adams, “At a Cowboy Dance” (first of five stanzas):</p>
<blockquote><p>Git yo’ little stagehens ready;<br />
Trot ‘em out upon the floor&#8212;<br />
Line up there, you critters! Steady!<br />
Lively, now! One couple more.<br />
Shorty, shed that ol’ sombrero;<br />
Broncho, douse that cigaret;<br />
Stop yer cussin’, Casimero,<br />
‘Fore the ladies. Now, all set:</p></blockquote>
<p>While callers aren’t reminding us to shed our sombreros and stop our cussin’, our long history of cowboy dance culture remains present in today’s New Mexico contra dance community through the dances we dance and the music we play. Also, local dance flavor continues to change as people move to the area and bring their dance traditions with them, or travel and bring back their experiences. Wendy Graham will include Kentucky Running Sets brought back from Berea, KY, in a program in Santa Fe, Doc Litchman will call square figures from teaching in Denmark, and I’ll call an all-Rick Mohr contra set or teach Scandinavian dance that I originally learned from David Kaynor at the Montague Grange (who brought them from the source).</p>
<p>New Mexico dancing has a fondness and tradition of the western-style squares described in Shaw’s and Litchman’s books, which are well-accompanied by that driving southern old-time sound. The popular and vibrant old-time music colors our dances, giving them more of a barn dance feel. Old-time house party jams are as popular as the dancing, and often at a house jam there’ll be a circle of musicians in the living room, in the kitchen, and on the porch all playing different tunes. For the hundreds of tunes they know, many don’t have jigs in their repertoire. The old-time music festival is as big as our large annual dance festival.</p>
<p>Albuquerque and Santa Fe each developed open megabands that play for the dances each month. Anyone can start playing an instrument, go to weekly practices, and then play monthly at a dance. We have a few strong leaders on microphone in the front row with up to 20 musicians behind. Curiously, the Albuquerque megaband has members who primarily play by ear, while the Santa Fe megaband members are primarily paper-trained.</p>
<p>The New Mexico dances are shaped by our spacious, mountainous, desert environment. There are four regular dances in New Mexico: Albuquerque (1st/3rd Sat), Santa Fe (2nd/4th Sat) north of Albuquerque by 65 miles, Taos (3rd Sat) north of Santa Fe by 70 miles, and Las Cruces (3rd Fri) south of Albuquerque by 225 miles. The dance in Durango, CO, (1st Sat) is about 215 miles northwest from either Albuquerque or Santa Fe. In most parts of NM you’re closer to a hot spring than to a contra dance! The dances alternate between Albuquerque and Santa Fe every other week, and Taos, Las Cruces, and Durango have monthly dances. Most people pick one “local” dance and stick to it, dancing once or twice per month; I drive between Albuquerque and Santa Fe to maximize my dancing each week. In contrast, as you know, in New England, more and more it seems that neighboring towns have dances, and sometimes more than one per week. Want to dance 3-5 times a week? Not a problem in New England!</p>
<p>The southwestern environment affects us. For example, caller <a href="http://perkypantsdance.com/">Wendy Graham</a> in Durango, has tried for five years to have a June dance, but finally gave up because everyone heads outside for summer river rafting, climbing, hiking, biking, etc. &#8212; face it, they don’t want to come inside and dance. On the other hand, head to the swampy <a href="http://fridaynightdance.org/">Glen Echo</a> dance in Maryland even when it’s 100 degrees Fahrenheit with 90% humidity and there’s over a hundred dancers in the Spanish ballroom!</p>
<p>Our weekly dances are smaller, between twenty and sixty at a dance. In southwest culture, salsa dancing is extremely popular, as is swing and international, and there are many other dancing options. In Greenfield, MA, I recall booking ahead up to five dances when I was young, but in the southwest no one books ahead, it&#8217;s not part of our culture. Our community is multigenerational, like most, though our twenty-somethings are currently underrepresented, even with our large university. We have several young leaders, including an eleven year-old caller and a <a href="http://www.folkmads.org/mullanys.html">dynamic brother/sister duo</a> in high school each playing a handful of instruments and calling. At festivals a few guys bring out their skirts, some shorter than others&#8230;</p>
<p>We are really into socializing! If you’re a New England caller invited to call a dance in New Mexico, don&#8217;t be surprised if it takes some time after the break to bring people back to dance in the second half &#8212; we need another 5 minutes of socializing. In California, my experience is that guys want the break to end quickly to get back to dancing with their favorite partners.</p>
<p>In addition to our weekly/monthly dances, New Mexico has five festivals each year: Memorial Day weekend’s <a href="http://www.folkmads.org/folkmadness.html">FolkMADness</a>, Halloween weekend’s <a href="http://www.folkmads.org/Boo_Camp.html">Fall Harvest (Boo!) camp</a>, <a href="http://www.folkmads.org/JanuaryFantasy.html">January’s Fantasy English Country Dance Ball</a>, June’s <a href="http://www.abqfolkfest.org/">Albuquerque Folk Festival</a>, and August’s <a href="http://www.southwestpickers.org/">Santa Fe Bluegrass and Old-Time Music Festival</a>. It’s at the festivals that we revisit with our large extended dance and music family who come from Arizona, Colorado, California, and even New England (e.g., <a href="http://www.nilsfredland.com/">Nils Fredland</a>). Travelling dancers and musicians comment to me regularly at camps about how friendly their camp experiences are, that the local dancers engage them, bring them in, and make them feel part of our community.</p>
<p><em>Learn more about New Mexico dancing at <a href="http://folkmads.org">folkmads.org</a>. Erik Erhardt, assistant professor of statistics at the University of New Mexico, danced regularly at Greenfield’s Guiding Star Grange from 1998-2004. He now calls contras, English, and squares, and teaches couples dancing around the country; for more see <a href="http://statacumen.com/dance/">statacumen.com/dance</a>. Thanks to <a href="http://perkypantsdance.com/">Wendy Graham</a> and <a href="http://www.folkmads.org/hey_about.html">Jane Phillips</a> whose ideas and comments improved this article.</em></p>
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		<title>Mega Millions $540M jackpot, or How to NOT LOSE at the lottery</title>
		<link>http://statacumen.com/2012/03/30/mega-millions-540m-jackpot-or-how-to-not-lose-at-the-lottery/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=mega-millions-540m-jackpot-or-how-to-not-lose-at-the-lottery</link>
		<comments>http://statacumen.com/2012/03/30/mega-millions-540m-jackpot-or-how-to-not-lose-at-the-lottery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2012 21:38:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erik Erhardt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://statacumen.com/?p=1134</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I quickly prepared the fun slides below for a short interview with KOAT Channel 7 on the Mega Millions $540M jackpot (estimated at $640 at 3:30pm on the day of the drawing), since it is greatly surpassing the previous record of $390 million. A ticket&#8217;s probability of winning the jackpot is roughly the ratio of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I quickly prepared the fun slides below for a short interview with <a href="http://www.koat.com/news/new-mexico">KOAT Channel 7</a> on the Mega Millions $540M jackpot (estimated at <a href="http://www.megamillions.com/mcenter/pressrelease.asp?newsID=4AA5E778-C8B7-48AF-A9B8-201E11810209">$640</a> at 3:30pm on the day of the drawing), since it is greatly surpassing the previous record of <a href="http://www.megamillions.com/winners/jackpothistory.asp">$390</a> million.</p>
<p>A ticket&#8217;s probability of winning the jackpot is roughly the ratio of the length of one of your fingers to the diameter of the earth, so unchangeably near 0 (0.00000000569). It is interesting for the jackpot to be large enough that the expected value is a few times larger than the cost of a ticket, which makes it a sensible time to buy from an expected value point-of-view. In fact, now&#8217;s a good time to purchase EVERY ticket combination &#8212; hurry, and hope you don&#8217;t have to split it with another winner!<br />
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